Thursday, February 10, 2011

DOW AND SPX READY TO RUMBLE

Dow Daily Chart hit the Magic 12,200 mark and showed weakness.
 Is it ready to rumble? All measurements say yes all we need is a geopolitical
event to bring us the the greatest Bear Market the planet has ever seen.
 Can the Fed ignite the Markets forever with Q3 and Q4. Hardly. When
you consider the harm the Fed is doing by artifically feeding the Markets it just
means the Markets have further to fall. The end of a Gigantic Cycle is the end
of a Cycle and no shenanigans will prevent the inevitable. What we are seeing
on the Chart is Wave 2 up from the bottom in March 2009. Wave 3 down is
just about to begin and will be larger than Wave 1 from the Top in 2008. Thats
not to mention Wave 4 and Wave 5 down. When its all over we will be down
75%-92%. In other words the fundementalists and Mutual fund Managers will
have a hell of a time explaining to their clients they are wiped out and permanently
wiped out since it will take 25-40 years for the Markets to come back. When the
Markets crashed in 1929 it was 1968 before you got your $1 dollar back adjusted
 for inflation. The Markets went sideways for 40 years. If the Markets went sideways
from here instead of crashing for 40 years everybody will be effectively wiped out
because inflation of 2%-10% over 40 years will reduce any holdings to zero not
counting Brokers fees of 2-3%. What to do? Get out of Stocks and into Government
Bonds short term treasuries and roll over every 90 days. Is Gold the answer? No.
Cash is King.

Dow weekly Chart is ready to roll over.


S&P 500 Large Cap Index Daily is ready to roll over.

S&P 500 Weekly is ready to roll over. Risk is hugh.


Wednesday, February 9, 2011

TRADING THE EURO

Above is a 4 Hour Bar Chart. You can see a recurring
theme with the bottom indicator when its Trending, it
always traces out a A,B,C upward movement and keeps
you on the right side of the Trade. The Eurusd is moving up
but technically its in a Bear Market as will be seen in the
Chart below.

Eurusd Daily Chart. As you can see by the bottom
indicator prices while moving up prices are still in a
Bear Market and will turn down only when the 4 Hour
Chart signal turn down.
Above Chart shows the Eurusd 5 Minute Bars. The
method used always keeps you on the right side of
the Trade. In this case the lower indicator is clearly
telling you to Buy the Eurusd (Buy the Euro, Sell
the Dollar)

Above is a 15 Minute Chart. Looking at the lower
indicator you can see prices although rising is only
a temporary move and will turn negative when the
top 5 minute chart prices turns down, then its time
to exit and Sell the Eurusd.

Above is the 30 Minute Chart. You can see prices are
beginning to turn up in sympathy with the 5,15 charts
above.

Above is the 1 Hour Chart. A long trend is still in force
as seen by the bottom indicator. Just trading a 1 Lot
and getting in only when the indicator turns up from
the bottom would have resulted in a profit of $7450.00





Tuesday, February 8, 2011

EURO SHORT TERM STRENGTH

EURUSD 4 HOUR BARS LOSING MOMENTUM


Expect the Euro to go sideways when its short term
momentum indicator is declining. When the short term
turns negative its time to exit......................................





EURUSD 15 MINUTE BARS SHOWING STRENGTH
15 MINUTE BARS ARE SHOWING STRENGTH SO EXPECT SOME UPSIDE MOVEMENT
BEFORE FURTHER DECLINES AS INDICATED  ON THE TOP CHART (4 HOUR BARS)